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Red61
616821.9
930410.0
474413.2
Blue60
82236.7
194310.4
432017.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473802060801006160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6168
#14
21.90.3
20.821.1
Auto7.1
Teleop12.9
End2.0
red by 4.4
4320
#20
17.60.4
17.517.2
Auto8.1
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Second
13.20.3
11.011.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.4
red by 2.8
1943
#25
10.40.4
10.810.5
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End0.2
Third
9304
#23
10.00.3
9.910.2
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End0.4
red by 3.2
8223
#28
6.70.4
7.06.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned