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Red65
703923.3
973816.4
459018.4
Blue64
973914.0
561425.4
529115.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686230405080901006564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7039
#15
23.30.4
24.924.6
Auto6.7
Teleop15.2
End1.4
blue by 2.0
5614
#12
25.40.2
24.224.4
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End1.7
Second
4590
#10
18.40.4
18.618.3
Auto5.5
Teleop12.2
End0.7
red by 2.6
5291
#16
15.80.2
16.817.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.8
Third
16.40.4
16.816.5
Auto8.1
Teleop6.7
End1.6
red by 2.4
9739
#22
14.00.2
15.515.7
Auto8.8
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed