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Red50
209624.0
592811.2
82236.7
Blue69
223140.5
43197.1
19542.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4356020801005069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.0
24.424.3
Auto10.5
Teleop11.0
End2.5
blue by 16.5
40.51.0
41.042.0
Auto17.3
Teleop18.5
End4.7
Second
5928
#24
11.20.0
9.69.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End1.1
red by 4.1
4319
#30
7.11.0
6.17.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.4
Third
8223
#28
6.70.0
6.66.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
red by 3.9
1954
#31
2.91.0
1.92.9
Auto1.0
Teleop1.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsEarned