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Red63
474413.2
45869.3
432017.6
Blue45
22128.9
529115.8
703923.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3859020801006345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4320
#20
17.60.7
17.217.9
Auto8.1
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 5.8
7039
#15
23.30.4
24.624.2
Auto6.7
Teleop15.2
End1.4
Second
13.20.7
11.312.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.4
blue by 2.6
5291
#16
15.80.4
17.016.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.8
Third
4586
#29
9.30.7
8.59.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.2
red by 0.3
2212
#21
8.90.4
9.38.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed