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Red68
321110.2
331619.5
610424.5
Blue26
19437.6
598714.4
674011.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684202060801001206826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.1
20.120.0
Auto7.2
Teleop15.6
End1.6
red by 10.0
5987
#17
14.41.7
15.213.5
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End1.4
Second
19.50.1
18.918.8
Auto9.8
Teleop8.3
End1.3
red by 8.2
6740
#19
11.31.7
16.214.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Third
3211
#21
10.20.1
19.118.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End0.0
red by 2.6
1943
#20
7.61.7
9.47.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsEarned