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Red53
209617.6
26799.1
383522.5
Blue82
555419.5
561432.0
599020.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518602040601001201401605382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3835
#16
22.50.2
21.421.3
Auto9.2
Teleop11.0
End2.3
blue by 9.5
32.00.1
28.828.7
Auto13.0
Teleop17.5
End1.5
Second
2096
#11
17.60.2
20.120.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End1.1
blue by 3.0
5990
#12
20.60.1
25.925.8
Auto6.2
Teleop12.0
End2.4
Third
2679
#24
9.10.2
9.08.8
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End1.0
blue by 10.4
5554
#13
19.50.1
19.018.9
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed