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Red21
561432.0
974012.6
673816.6
Blue44
784519.9
555419.5
45865.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805301001502002144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.03.2
32.729.4
Auto13.0
Teleop17.5
End1.5
red by 12.1
19.90.8
20.820.0
Auto10.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
Second
6738
#23
16.63.2
19.416.2
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End-0.1
blue by 2.9
5554
#13
19.50.8
20.920.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End1.4
Third
9740
#10
12.63.2
17.414.2
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End0.5
red by 7.5
4586
#15
5.10.8
9.38.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed