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Red20
306516.3
6740B10.2
331619.5
Blue100
209617.6
1690B38.2
81756.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58572030405070809010020100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.52.2
21.419.2
Auto9.8
Teleop8.3
End1.3
blue by 18.8
38.214.6
37.823.2
Auto13.9
Teleop22.2
End2.1
Second
3065
#25
16.32.2
21.519.3
Auto8.7
Teleop6.3
End1.4
blue by 1.3
2096
#11
17.60.4
21.021.4
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Third
10.24.1
10.26.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End-0.3
red by 3.6
8175
#18
6.60.4
8.58.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.6
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed