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Red45
599020.6
263027.6
321110.2
Blue58
26799.1
307529.3
610424.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786501001502002503003504558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.62.3
28.125.8
Auto9.2
Teleop16.9
End1.5
blue by 1.7
29.30.3
28.127.8
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End1.6
Second
5990
#12
20.62.3
27.024.7
Auto6.2
Teleop12.0
End2.4
blue by 3.8
24.50.3
24.123.8
Auto7.2
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Third
3211
#21
10.22.3
14.011.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End0.0
red by 1.1
2679
#24
9.10.3
7.97.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed55%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned28%Ensemble oddsMissed