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Red54
784519.9
673816.6
306516.3
Blue96
1690B38.2
5990B28.4
19437.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526102040801005496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.1
19.319.4
Auto10.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
blue by 18.3
38.23.5
28.932.4
Auto13.9
Teleop22.2
End2.1
Second
6738
#23
16.60.1
15.015.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End-0.1
blue by 11.8
28.43.5
17.821.3
Auto4.9
Teleop21.8
End1.7
Third
3065
#25
16.30.1
13.413.5
Auto8.7
Teleop6.3
End1.4
red by 8.7
1943
#20
7.62.1
7.79.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned