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Red81
974012.6
383522.5
610424.5
Blue28
555419.5
209617.6
331619.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59640501001508128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.8
20.020.8
Auto7.2
Teleop15.6
End1.6
red by 4.9
5554
#13
19.52.0
18.916.9
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End1.4
Second
3835
#16
22.50.8
21.322.1
Auto9.2
Teleop11.0
End2.3
red by 3.0
19.52.0
18.816.8
Auto9.8
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Third
9740
#10
12.60.8
12.513.3
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End0.5
blue by 5.1
2096
#11
17.62.0
20.018.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed