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Red54
321110.2
306516.3
599020.6
Blue93
673816.6
169050.6
81756.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6277020401001201405493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5990
#12
20.60.4
25.825.3
Auto6.2
Teleop12.0
End2.4
blue by 30.0
50.60.3
45.545.9
Auto15.9
Teleop31.6
End3.2
Second
3065
#25
16.30.4
13.513.1
Auto8.7
Teleop6.3
End1.4
blue by 0.3
6738
#23
16.60.3
15.115.4
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End-0.1
Third
3211
#21
10.20.4
18.918.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End0.0
red by 3.6
8175
#18
6.60.3
7.67.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.6
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsMissed