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Red51
598714.4
673816.6
1690B38.2
Blue88
169050.6
306516.3
383522.5
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions669302040801201401605188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.21.7
34.432.7
Auto13.9
Teleop22.2
End2.1
blue by 12.4
50.60.1
45.946.0
Auto15.9
Teleop31.6
End3.2
Second
6738
#23
16.61.0
15.414.3
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End-0.1
blue by 5.8
3835
#16
22.50.1
22.122.2
Auto9.2
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Third
5987
#17
14.41.0
12.911.8
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End1.4
blue by 1.9
3065
#25
16.30.1
13.113.2
Auto8.7
Teleop6.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed