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Red22
263027.6
19437.6
555419.5
Blue66
599020.6
674011.3
209617.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65642040801002266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.62.4
31.629.1
Auto9.2
Teleop16.9
End1.5
red by 7.0
5990
#12
20.60.1
25.325.2
Auto6.2
Teleop12.0
End2.4
Second
5554
#13
19.52.4
16.614.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End1.4
red by 1.9
2096
#11
17.60.1
18.118.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Third
1943
#20
7.62.4
10.58.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End0.2
blue by 3.7
6740
#19
11.30.1
14.614.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed