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Red80
5990B28.4
45865.1
307529.3
Blue61
331619.5
561432.0
26799.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576202040801001201408061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.31.5
26.127.6
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End1.6
blue by 2.7
32.00.3
29.629.3
Auto13.0
Teleop17.5
End1.5
Second
28.42.3
20.022.3
Auto4.9
Teleop21.8
End1.7
red by 9.0
19.50.3
19.218.9
Auto9.8
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Third
4586
#15
5.11.5
6.47.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.2
End-0.1
blue by 4.0
2679
#24
9.10.3
7.06.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed