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Red29
331619.5
974012.6
45865.1
Blue64
321110.2
383522.5
1690B38.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3983020601001201401602964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.9
18.917.9
Auto9.8
Teleop8.3
End1.3
blue by 18.8
38.20.5
33.332.8
Auto13.9
Teleop22.2
End2.1
Second
9740
#10
12.60.9
13.913.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End0.5
blue by 9.9
3835
#16
22.50.4
21.921.5
Auto9.2
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Third
4586
#15
5.10.9
7.97.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.2
End-0.1
blue by 5.1
3211
#21
10.20.4
14.414.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed