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Red75
599020.6
459011.3
784519.9
Blue65
610424.5
306516.3
6740B10.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6342020801001207565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5990
#12
20.61.3
25.727.0
Auto6.2
Teleop12.0
End2.4
blue by 3.8
24.51.6
22.524.1
Auto7.2
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Second
19.91.3
17.819.1
Auto10.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
red by 3.6
3065
#25
16.31.6
12.814.4
Auto8.7
Teleop6.3
End1.4
Third
4590
#14
11.31.3
11.512.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End0.8
red by 1.0
10.22.3
5.57.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed