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Red51
598714.4
209617.6
307529.3
Blue50
263027.6
81756.6
674011.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635501001502005150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.7
28.728.1
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End1.6
red by 1.7
27.61.0
29.128.1
Auto9.2
Teleop16.9
End1.5
Second
2096
#11
17.60.7
17.616.9
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End1.1
red by 6.4
6740
#19
11.31.0
13.312.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Third
5987
#17
14.40.7
9.79.0
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End1.4
red by 7.8
8175
#18
6.61.0
8.17.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.6
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned