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Red52
383522.5
19437.6
6740B10.2
Blue65
674011.3
307529.3
784519.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367002060801001201401605265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3835
#16
22.51.0
20.521.5
Auto9.2
Teleop11.0
End2.3
blue by 6.8
29.30.3
27.827.5
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End1.6
Second
10.21.2
8.49.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End-0.3
blue by 9.7
19.90.3
19.519.2
Auto10.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
Third
1943
#20
7.61.0
8.09.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End0.2
blue by 3.7
6740
#19
11.30.3
12.311.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsEarned