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Red116
5990B28.4
555419.5
598714.4
Blue62
673816.6
209617.6
263027.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5468020408010012014016011662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.43.6
22.826.4
Auto4.9
Teleop21.8
End1.7
red by 0.8
27.60.2
26.726.9
Auto9.2
Teleop16.9
End1.5
Second
5554
#13
19.52.9
17.620.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End1.4
red by 1.9
2096
#11
17.60.2
16.917.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Third
5987
#17
14.42.9
9.912.8
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End1.4
blue by 2.2
6738
#23
16.60.2
16.116.2
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed