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Red25
974012.6
459011.3
19437.6
Blue150
169050.6
331619.5
561432.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2811705010015020025150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9740
#10
12.60.8
13.412.5
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End0.5
blue by 38.0
50.61.6
50.351.9
Auto15.9
Teleop31.6
End3.2
Second
4590
#14
11.30.8
13.312.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End0.8
blue by 20.7
32.01.6
28.630.2
Auto13.0
Teleop17.5
End1.5
Third
1943
#20
7.60.8
9.08.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End0.2
blue by 11.9
19.51.6
16.718.3
Auto9.8
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned