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Red40
674011.3
321110.2
555419.5
Blue78
383522.5
263027.6
784519.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4479020601001201404078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5554
#13
19.50.7
20.519.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End1.4
blue by 8.1
27.60.7
26.927.6
Auto9.2
Teleop16.9
End1.5
Second
6740
#19
11.30.7
11.911.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End0.8
blue by 11.2
3835
#16
22.50.7
21.522.2
Auto9.2
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Third
3211
#21
10.20.7
11.110.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 9.8
19.90.7
19.219.9
Auto10.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed