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Red49
5990B28.4
6740B10.2
81756.6
Blue39
45865.1
599020.6
26799.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463802060801004939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.6
26.427.0
Auto4.9
Teleop21.8
End1.7
red by 7.8
5990
#12
20.60.2
20.821.1
Auto6.2
Teleop12.0
End2.4
Second
10.20.6
9.610.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End-0.3
red by 1.1
2679
#24
9.10.2
8.68.8
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End1.0
Third
8175
#18
6.60.6
4.65.2
Auto4.1
Teleop2.6
End-0.1
red by 1.5
4586
#15
5.10.2
6.16.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed