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Red129
561432.0
610424.5
307529.3
Blue46
974012.6
598714.4
306516.3
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9637020608012014016012946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.02.9
30.233.2
Auto13.0
Teleop17.5
End1.5
red by 15.7
3065
#25
16.30.3
14.714.9
Auto8.7
Teleop6.3
End1.4
Second
29.32.9
27.530.4
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End1.6
red by 14.8
5987
#17
14.40.3
12.813.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End1.4
Third
24.52.9
22.125.0
Auto7.2
Teleop15.6
End1.6
red by 11.9
9740
#10
12.60.3
12.512.8
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed