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Red75
459011.3
169050.6
209617.6
Blue85
673816.6
1690B38.2
331619.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92760501507585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.60.8
51.951.2
Auto15.9
Teleop31.6
End3.2
red by 12.4
38.20.9
35.936.8
Auto13.9
Teleop22.2
End2.1
Second
2096
#11
17.60.8
17.016.3
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End1.1
blue by 1.8
19.50.8
18.319.2
Auto9.8
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Third
4590
#14
11.30.8
12.511.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End0.8
blue by 5.4
6738
#23
16.60.8
16.217.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed