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Red121
99957.0
333943.5
169051.2
Blue34
1690B37.8
595138.1
33885.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118935015020012134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.20.2
51.150.9
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End1.8
red by 13.1
38.11.3
40.038.7
Auto13.1
Teleop23.6
End1.4
Second
43.50.2
43.443.1
Auto14.6
Teleop25.3
End3.5
red by 5.7
37.81.3
39.738.4
Auto15.1
Teleop21.6
End1.1
Third
9995
#23
7.00.3
6.96.7
Auto4.9
Teleop2.6
End-0.2
red by 1.6
3388
#24
5.41.3
7.36.0
Auto4.1
Teleop0.7
End0.7