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Red120
99957.0
333943.5
169051.2
Blue56
1690B37.8
595138.1
33885.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1178805010015012056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.20.3
50.951.2
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End1.8
red by 13.1
38.10.6
38.738.1
Auto13.1
Teleop23.6
End1.4
Second
43.50.3
43.143.5
Auto14.6
Teleop25.3
End3.5
red by 5.7
37.80.6
38.437.8
Auto15.1
Teleop21.6
End1.1
Third
9995
#23
7.00.4
6.77.0
Auto4.9
Teleop2.6
End-0.2
red by 1.6
3388
#24
5.40.6
6.05.4
Auto4.1
Teleop0.7
End0.7