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Red57
474415.4
703922.9
33885.4
Blue92
209621.1
223127.4
169051.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4711701001505792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7039
#12
22.90.1
24.925.1
Auto8.6
Teleop12.7
End1.6
blue by 28.4
51.20.4
51.150.8
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End1.8
Second
4744
#15
15.40.1
13.013.1
Auto5.8
Teleop8.6
End1.0
blue by 12.0
2231
#13
27.40.4
30.430.0
Auto9.7
Teleop14.0
End3.7
Third
3388
#24
5.40.1
13.013.1
Auto4.1
Teleop0.7
End0.7
blue by 15.7
21.10.4
16.215.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsEarned