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Red64
571522.3
333943.5
711213.4
Blue60
555425.4
97385.1
157730.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79776065707580856460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.5
37.136.6
Auto14.6
Teleop25.3
End3.5
red by 13.3
1577
#14
30.10.7
37.336.6
Auto9.1
Teleop19.5
End1.6
Second
5715
#17
22.30.5
22.822.3
Auto9.3
Teleop12.5
End0.6
blue by 3.1
25.40.7
19.719.0
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End0.9
Third
7112
#10
13.40.5
11.010.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End0.9
red by 8.2
9738
#21
5.10.7
13.312.6
Auto3.7
Teleop1.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed