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Red34
33885.4
97385.1
223127.4
Blue83
1690B37.8
209621.1
308312.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5381020401001201401603483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#13
27.41.9
29.227.3
Auto9.7
Teleop14.0
End3.7
blue by 10.3
37.80.9
39.740.6
Auto15.1
Teleop21.6
End1.1
Second
3388
#24
5.41.9
10.68.7
Auto4.1
Teleop0.7
End0.7
blue by 15.7
21.10.9
20.221.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End1.8
Third
9738
#21
5.11.9
12.310.4
Auto3.7
Teleop1.1
End0.3
blue by 7.4
12.50.9
10.211.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed