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Red81
333943.5
822310.3
433816.9
Blue38
99957.0
703922.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75340501001508138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.51.0
40.941.9
Auto14.6
Teleop25.3
End3.5
red by 20.6
7039
#12
22.90.4
22.623.0
Auto8.6
Teleop12.7
End1.6
Second
4338
#19
16.91.0
16.217.2
Auto6.6
Teleop9.8
End0.5
red by 8.4
8.50.6
4.14.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End0.4
Third
8223
#18
10.31.0
6.87.8
Auto5.1
Teleop4.6
End0.6
red by 3.3
9995
#23
7.00.6
3.94.5
Auto4.9
Teleop2.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed