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Red99
308312.5
169051.2
571522.3
Blue65
703922.9
1690B37.8
97385.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937802040601201401609965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.21.1
50.151.2
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End1.8
red by 13.4
37.80.8
40.339.5
Auto15.1
Teleop21.6
End1.1
Second
5715
#17
22.31.1
23.124.2
Auto9.3
Teleop12.5
End0.6
blue by 0.5
7039
#12
22.90.8
23.022.2
Auto8.6
Teleop12.7
End1.6
Third
12.51.1
9.610.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End1.8
red by 7.4
9738
#21
5.10.8
9.08.2
Auto3.7
Teleop1.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed