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Red43
822310.3
157429.2
Blue87
157730.1
595138.1
209621.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4810901502004387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.6
30.529.9
Auto11.6
Teleop11.9
End5.7
blue by 8.9
38.10.6
38.838.2
Auto13.1
Teleop23.6
End1.4
Second
8223
#18
10.30.6
11.210.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.6
End0.6
blue by 19.8
1577
#14
30.10.6
31.230.5
Auto9.1
Teleop19.5
End1.6
Third
8.50.8
9.99.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End0.4
blue by 12.6
21.10.6
21.620.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed