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Red66
209621.1
433816.9
157429.2
Blue76
223127.4
459010.5
711213.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions794802040601001201401606676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.1
29.929.8
Auto11.6
Teleop11.9
End5.7
red by 1.8
2231
#13
27.41.6
26.428.0
Auto9.7
Teleop14.0
End3.7
Second
21.10.1
20.920.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End1.8
red by 7.7
7112
#10
13.41.6
11.513.1
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End0.9
Third
4338
#19
16.90.1
17.417.2
Auto6.6
Teleop9.8
End0.5
red by 6.4
4590
#11
10.51.6
9.210.8
Auto4.8
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned