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Red60
333943.5
33885.4
Blue111
595138.1
555425.4
308312.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618505010015020060111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.3
42.842.6
Auto14.6
Teleop25.3
End3.5
red by 5.3
38.11.3
38.239.5
Auto13.1
Teleop23.6
End1.4
Second
8.50.4
9.18.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End0.4
blue by 16.9
25.41.3
24.826.1
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End0.9
Third
3388
#24
5.40.3
7.16.8
Auto4.1
Teleop0.7
End0.7
blue by 7.1
12.51.3
11.412.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsEarned