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Red85
223127.4
157730.1
333943.5
Blue101
169051.2
555425.4
703922.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241025015020085101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.51.6
38.737.1
Auto14.6
Teleop25.3
End3.5
blue by 7.8
51.20.3
50.951.1
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End1.8
Second
1577
#14
30.11.6
38.937.3
Auto9.1
Teleop19.5
End1.6
red by 4.7
25.40.3
19.419.7
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End0.9
Third
2231
#13
27.41.6
32.130.4
Auto9.7
Teleop14.0
End3.7
red by 4.6
7039
#12
22.90.3
24.724.9
Auto8.6
Teleop12.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
78%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed