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Red7
459010.5
308312.5
Blue48
433816.9
51355.1
263029.0
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32610204080100120140748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.52.0
12.610.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End1.8
blue by 16.5
29.00.2
27.827.5
Auto7.9
Teleop19.8
End1.2
Second
4590
#11
10.52.0
8.86.7
Auto4.8
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 6.4
4338
#19
16.90.2
16.516.2
Auto6.6
Teleop9.8
End0.5
Third
8.53.4
11.37.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End0.4
red by 3.4
5135
#16
5.10.2
7.37.1
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed