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Red161
99957.0
333943.5
169051.2
Blue72
223127.4
157429.2
51355.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1206105010015020016172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.20.3
50.450.7
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End1.8
red by 22.0
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto11.6
Teleop11.9
End5.7
Second
43.50.3
42.743.0
Auto14.6
Teleop25.3
End3.5
red by 16.0
2231
#13
27.40.0
27.527.5
Auto9.7
Teleop14.0
End3.7
Third
9995
#23
7.00.3
6.16.4
Auto4.9
Teleop2.6
End-0.2
red by 2.0
5135
#16
5.10.0
5.15.1
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End0.7