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Red94
33885.4
595138.1
1690B37.8
Blue96
209621.1
474415.4
157730.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98680501509496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.1
39.639.6
Auto13.1
Teleop23.6
End1.4
red by 8.0
1577
#14
30.10.3
29.830.0
Auto9.1
Teleop19.5
End1.6
Second
37.80.1
39.239.3
Auto15.1
Teleop21.6
End1.1
red by 16.7
21.10.3
20.721.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End1.8
Third
3388
#24
5.40.1
6.96.9
Auto4.1
Teleop0.7
End0.7
blue by 10.0
4744
#15
15.40.3
15.015.3
Auto5.8
Teleop8.6
End1.0