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Red76
175651.9
52522.7
91206.9
Blue118
170651.3
97329.0
313629.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85119406010014016018076118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#11
51.90.7
44.243.5
Auto13.1
Teleop32.6
End6.1
red by 0.6
51.30.6
49.149.7
Auto17.0
Teleop28.1
End6.2
Second
525
#59
22.70.7
26.926.2
Auto11.9
Teleop9.4
End1.4
blue by 7.1
3136
#37
29.90.6
30.931.6
Auto7.5
Teleop19.5
End2.9
Third
9120
#68
6.90.8
10.19.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.6
End0.3
blue by 22.0
973
#10
29.00.6
23.424.0
Auto7.7
Teleop19.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsMissed86%Ensemble oddsEarned