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Qual 22024 Johnson Division
Red81
461137.3
434231.0
95797.2
Blue44
954515.0
168425.1
287512.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7351204060801001208144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4611
#8
37.30.9
28.8→29.7
Auto12.6
Teleop22.3
End2.4
red by 12.2
1684
#56
25.10.6
21.9→21.3
Auto5.8
Teleop17.7
End1.7
Second
4342
#38
31.00.9
27.3→28.2
Auto12.3
Teleop16.9
End1.8
red by 16.0
9545
#70
15.00.6
15.0→14.3
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End0.6
Third
9579
#71
7.21.2
7.5→8.7
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End0.5
blue by 5.6
2875
#69
12.70.6
11.8→11.1
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed