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Red105
313228.4
264243.0
20120.7
Blue104
174732.7
581342.0
363729.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9511450150200105104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#19
43.01.1
40.241.3
Auto10.7
Teleop30.1
End2.2
red by 1.0
42.00.2
39.840.0
Auto15.3
Teleop22.2
End4.5
Second
3132
#45
28.41.1
28.029.1
Auto9.9
Teleop15.6
End2.9
blue by 4.3
1747
#55
32.70.2
32.132.3
Auto9.4
Teleop20.5
End2.8
Third
201
#30
20.71.1
20.221.3
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End2.7
blue by 9.1
3637
#27
29.80.2
28.929.1
Auto8.9
Teleop18.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned61%Ensemble oddsMissed