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Red80
445033.0
414525.1
501032.6
Blue133
434231.0
265935.1
178740.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107112608010012014016018080133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#24
33.01.2
35.734.5
Auto9.4
Teleop21.5
End2.1
blue by 7.5
1787
#15
40.51.8
38.440.2
Auto10.5
Teleop26.5
End3.5
Second
5010
#26
32.61.2
34.433.2
Auto9.0
Teleop20.9
End2.7
blue by 2.4
35.11.8
33.034.8
Auto10.8
Teleop20.4
End3.9
Third
4145
#52
25.11.2
27.626.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.8
End1.1
blue by 5.9
4342
#38
31.01.8
29.531.3
Auto12.3
Teleop16.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed55%Ensemble oddsEarned