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Red133
540636.1
912839.6
543640.3
Blue108
476643.7
741921.9
174732.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12810450150200133108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.31.3
39.040.3
Auto10.1
Teleop26.8
End3.4
blue by 3.4
4766
#17
43.70.4
43.243.6
Auto13.9
Teleop26.1
End3.7
Second
9128
#34
39.61.3
39.440.7
Auto13.6
Teleop23.2
End2.9
red by 6.9
1747
#55
32.70.4
32.332.7
Auto9.4
Teleop20.5
End2.8
Third
5406
#13
36.11.3
34.736.1
Auto11.4
Teleop19.0
End5.7
red by 14.2
7419
#41
21.90.4
21.521.9
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
82%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsEarned