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Red80
414525.1
20120.7
181639.1
Blue99
501032.6
176837.3
438127.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95111204060801201401601808099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#18
39.10.7
40.339.6
Auto11.5
Teleop26.2
End1.4
red by 1.8
1768
#21
37.30.6
37.436.8
Auto14.0
Teleop21.9
End1.3
Second
4145
#52
25.10.7
26.525.8
Auto9.1
Teleop14.8
End1.1
blue by 7.6
5010
#26
32.60.6
33.232.6
Auto9.0
Teleop20.9
End2.7
Third
201
#30
20.70.7
21.320.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End2.7
blue by 6.5
4381
#22
27.10.6
27.827.1
Auto7.3
Teleop16.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsMissed