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Red98
494418.9
581342.0
731229.4
Blue71
52522.7
411224.3
434231.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98864060801201401609871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.6
40.040.6
Auto15.3
Teleop22.2
End4.5
red by 11.0
4342
#38
31.00.6
31.330.7
Auto12.3
Teleop16.9
End1.8
Second
7312
#66
29.40.6
28.829.4
Auto12.4
Teleop13.4
End3.6
red by 5.1
4112
#64
24.30.6
24.824.3
Auto10.4
Teleop13.1
End0.7
Third
4944
#57
18.90.6
18.318.9
Auto7.6
Teleop9.6
End1.6
blue by 3.9
525
#59
22.70.6
23.322.7
Auto11.9
Teleop9.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed