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Red118
440529.7
170140.3
80124.4
Blue118
306141.3
175651.9
873828.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99138406080120160180200118118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#14
40.3
Auto14.4
Teleop23.4
End2.6
blue by 11.6
1756
#11
51.9
Auto13.1
Teleop32.6
End6.1
Second
4405
#23
29.7
Auto11.3
Teleop16.8
End1.6
blue by 11.6
3061
#12
41.3
Auto10.9
Teleop27.8
End2.5
Third
801
#58
24.4
Auto8.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
blue by 4.2
8738
#49
28.6
Auto11.1
Teleop15.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsEarned