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Red107
285127.7
558425.9
439145.2
Blue57
411810.0
313629.9
32533.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11383406010012014016010757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.2
45.245.5
Auto17.1
Teleop25.2
End2.9
red by 11.4
325
#33
33.81.6
35.333.8
Auto11.3
Teleop19.8
End2.7
Second
2851
#42
27.70.2
27.527.7
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End3.1
blue by 2.2
3136
#37
29.91.6
31.529.9
Auto7.5
Teleop19.5
End2.9
Third
5584
#46
25.90.2
25.725.9
Auto8.6
Teleop14.4
End2.9
red by 15.9
4118
#74
10.01.6
11.510.0
Auto4.8
Teleop2.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsEarned42%Ensemble oddsMissed