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Red96
141430.8
189926.7
319326.0
Blue31
975811.9
95797.2
95937.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102200501509631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
#25
30.80.4
30.831.2
Auto11.4
Teleop19.0
End0.4
red by 19.0
9758
#63
11.90.4
12.311.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.0
Second
1899
#54
26.70.4
26.326.7
Auto10.4
Teleop14.5
End1.8
red by 19.5
9593
#72
7.20.4
7.67.2
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End0.2
Third
3193
#44
26.00.4
25.526.0
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End1.6
red by 18.8
9579
#71
7.20.4
7.67.2
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned2%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsEarned