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Red63
512626.0
978525.6
495212.5
Blue99
237512.1
461137.3
147738.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions679502040801201401606399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5126
#60
26.00.1
26.126.0
Auto11.4
Teleop14.3
End0.3
blue by 12.4
1477
#32
38.31.1
35.937.0
Auto14.8
Teleop19.9
End3.7
Second
9785
#50
25.60.1
25.625.6
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End1.6
blue by 11.7
37.31.1
36.137.1
Auto12.6
Teleop22.3
End2.4
Third
4952
#67
12.50.1
12.612.5
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End2.5
red by 0.3
2375
#62
12.11.1
11.112.1
Auto7.7
Teleop4.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsMissed